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DTSTAMP:20251016T135137Z
LOCATION:Grand A
DTSTART;TZID=America/Chicago:20251014T163000
DTEND;TZID=America/Chicago:20251014T165000
UID:HFESAM_ASPIRE 2025_sess150_LECT661@linklings.com
SUMMARY:Failed Counterfactual Interventions: Are Workers Naturally Generat
 ing Counterfactual Thoughts after Experiencing Simulated Incidents in Exte
 nded Reality?
DESCRIPTION:Joseph W. Hendricks (Next Generation Advanced Procedures); Kia
 nna M. Arthur, Jason T. Schultz, Gabriel A. McDaniel, and Rachel E. Smallm
 an (Texas A&M University); S. Camille Peres (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commi
 ssion); and Farzan Sasangohar (Texas A&M University, Houston Methodist Hos
 pital)\n\nIndividuals in high-risk/consequence industries (HRCIs) continue
  to experience incidents despite improvements to procedures (e.g., standar
 d operating procedures) designed to mitigate incidents. We submit that cou
 nterfactual thinking (CFTing)—thoughts where one revisits a prior event su
 ch as, “If only I had shut off the breaker, then I would not have been ele
 ctrocuted”— could be a novel incident mitigation strategy that extends bey
 ond procedures alone for tasks that employ procedures. There is a large bo
 dy of research across several domains that suggests CFTing is an effective
  way to change behavior, especially after experiencing a negative event. C
 onsequently, since HRCI incidents are negative events, CFTs should lead to
  safer behavior post-incident. However, one investigation that included a 
 CFT/no CFT manipulation in a simulated HRCI environment failed to observe 
 a CFT effect on subsequent incident occurrence. This study was designed to
  determine if individuals self-generate CFTs (SGCFTs) and therefore could 
 nullify a CFT manipulation. As predicted, the results from 48 participants
 , each experiencing a simulated incident in a similar HRCI environment in 
 one of two sessions, indicated CFTs were spontaneously generated. Furtherm
 ore, incident order differentially impacted SGCFTs such that SGCFTs occurr
 ed at a higher rate when incidents followed success. Implications and futu
 re research are discussed.\n\nTrack: Safety\n\n
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